All Articles
42 articles
Compound Interest
How compounding works in money, skills, relationships, health
Second-Order Thinking
Thinking in consequence chains
Opportunity Cost
The invisible price of every decision
Survivorship Bias
The illusion of only seeing winners
Regression to the Mean
Why extremes don't last
Bayes' Theorem
The math of updating beliefs
Asymmetric Risk
Bets where downside is small, upside is huge
Leverage
Financial, labor, code, media leverage
Incentive Design
People do what they're rewarded for
Ergodicity
Ensemble vs time averages
Network Effects
Winner-take-all dynamics
Antifragility
Getting stronger from chaos
Principal-Agent Problem
Misaligned incentives
Mental Models
Operating system for your brain
Sunk Cost
The art of letting go
Margin of Safety
Engineering resilience
Feedback Loops
Reinforcing and balancing loops
Selection Bias
You're not seeing the full picture
Power Laws
The 80/20 of everything
Via Negativa
Improvement by subtraction
Blockchain
Trust without trustees
Large Language Models
How machines learned to talk
Cryptography
Secrets in plain sight
Game Theory
The mathematics of strategy
Information Theory
The bit that changed everything
Evolution
The algorithm that designs everything
Thermodynamics
The laws that govern everything
Neural Networks
How silicon learns
Market Microstructure
How markets actually work
Monetary Policy
How money is created and destroyed
Complex Systems
When more becomes different
Decision Theory
The science of choosing
Distributed Systems
Making computers agree
Quantum Mechanics
Reality is stranger than you think
Mechanism Design
Engineering incentives
Signal Processing
Finding patterns in noise
Optimization
Finding the best in a world of possibilities
Network Science
The hidden architecture of everything
Chaos Theory
Sensitive dependence on initial conditions
Bayesian Inference
Learning from evidence
Genetics
The code that builds you
Epigenetics
The software layer above your genes